On the front page of today’s News Journal was the following quote:
Think of the record U.S. corn harvests in 2009 & 2010, a record snowfall in October 2010 in New York and Alaska’s current record cold snap as coming attractions in a cooling world. That is the warning from top climate scientists and disaster experts after meeting in Africa.
Of course, the News Journal wrote no such thing. Instead of using science and statistics, they simply took what was given to them by the credibility strained IPCC and printed:
Think of the Texas drought, floods in Thailand and Russia’s heat waves as coming attractions in a warming world. That is the warning from top climate scientists and disaster experts after meeting in Africa.
Simply put, we shouldn’t “think of” any of these things, but let a broad look and rational analysis of the data lead our public policy.
As an example of rational analysis, let’s look at one of the global climate models, the Yale DICE-2007 climate model, which has an MS-Excel version. There are dozens of variables (well over 100) that tie into dozens of simultaneous, non-linear equations. In short, it is a model that is as worthless as it is complex. Why? Because with over 100 variables, I can create any outcome I want by correctly picking the variables and by solving non-linear equations using the correct statistical simplification tools to get the answer that I want. Any decent mathematician can do this.
Of course, no decent mathematician actually was consulted prior to the publication of the information, which, as previously stated, came as a result of:
The Nobel Prize-winning Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change issu[ing] a special report on global warming and extreme weather Friday after meeting in Kampala, Uganda.
This is the same Nobel prize issuing group that gave Yasir Arafat a Nobel Prize for Peace as well as one to President Obama after he’d been President for 18 days. So, not much credibility to the Nobel Committee as it relates to Peace. Intergovernmental — These are the same governments that put Syria and Iran on the Human Rights Commission. The same governments who have established global economic conditions that have bankrupt the world. So, not much credibility to the Intergovernmental types (Although I give them credit for meeting in Uganda, keep the UN out of the United States, IMVHO.).
I would like to see, in the spirit of debate and unbiased reporting, the News Journal run an interview with 1973 Nobel Physics prize winner, Dr. Ivar Giaever, who was one of President Obama’s key scientific supporters in 2008. Giaever joined over 70 Nobel Science Laureates in endorsing Obama in an October 29, 2008 open letter. But recently he resigned from the American Physical Society writing the following:
I did not renew it because I cannot live with the (APS) statement below (on global warming): APS: ‘The evidence is incontrovertible: Global warming is occurring. If no mitigating actions are taken, significant disruptions in the Earth’s physical and ecological systems, social systems, security and human health are likely to occur. We must reduce emissions of greenhouse gases beginning now.’
In the APS it is ok to discuss whether the mass of the proton changes over time and how a multi-universe behaves, but the evidence of global warming is incontrovertible? The claim (how can you measure the average temperature of the whole earth for a whole year?) is that the temperature has changed from ~288.0 to ~288.8 degree Kelvin in about 150 years, which (if true) means to me is that the temperature has been amazingly stable, and both human health and happiness have definitely improved in this ‘warming’ period.
Dr. Giaever also disagrees with our Delaware’s DNREC Secretary when he told the New York Times in 2010:
[Global warming] can’t be discussed — just like religion…there is NO unusual rise in the ocean level, so where and what is the big problem?
What is the big problem? Governor Markell has been working overtime to keep energy costs in Delaware high, and use small business taxpayers money to fund his crony’s business interests. The logical outcome of these policies is a continuation of a moribund local economy when compared to PA, MD & NJ, therefore, the News Journal must come to his rescue. It would be nice to see a balanced approach.