I know that Bush-bashing is all the rage on the left. It’s fun, costs little, and brings the remembrance of better days past. But, from Gallup:
Thus, the results more than a year ahead of the election do not have a large degree of predictive ability, and underscore that things can change greatly in the final year or more before an election.
Both Bushes had higher job approval ratings in the year before their re-election contests than Obama does now, helping explain why Obama has fared less well on the generic ballot in the year prior to the election year. George H.W. Bush’s approval rating in July 1991 averaged 71%, while George W. Bush’s July 2003 average was 60%. Obama’s latest weekly average is 46%.
I include the portion that mentions the lack of any predictive ability of this data. And given the economy, the Republican Primary situation, etc, I make no forecasts at the moment regarding 2012. However, it has to be rather galling to think that President Obama has burned so much political capital on such ruinous programs that both Bushes were more popular at this point of the Presidency than he is. But, if all of your programs have failed and the Country is poised to have a debt downgrade, it’s hard to be popular.