About a week ago, Beth Miller of the News Journal had a thorough piece on Delaware’s State GOP (The Courier Post edition can be found here). She spoke with me for the article and pretty much captured my basic comments.
Former state Sen. Charlie Copeland said he thinks the GOP had a tough 2010 because progressives on the left did a good job and “the tea party helped,” as some portrayed the movement as racist.
“That hurt Republicans significantly in Delaware,” Copeland said. The party should develop a message that resonates with minority communities, pointing out the failure of Democratic leaders to solve chronic problems in the state, he said.
Just to flesh it out a bit (since I’m a numbers guy)… According to a CNN exit poll, Chris Coons received 97% of the African-American vote in the 2010 General Election. In that election, African-Americans made up 20% of the vote — which is reflective of the general population. That comes out to Chris Coons having a 19.4% head start over Christine O’Donnell. Senator Coons won the election 57% to 40% — a 17% win. This implies that O’Donnell actually won the other 80% of the electorate (White, Hispanic, Asian, Native American, etc).
So, the overall narrative being played out in the media and by some conservatives (both inside & outside the Republican Party) doesn’t resonate as being particularly compelling or accurate to me. When you only have 3% market share in a 20% block of the market, your going to lose more than you are going to win. It is that simple. And, BTW, John McCain got similar numbers in 2008.
After ~60 years of Democratic rule in the City of Wilmington, whose population is over 75% African-American, the City has an official 13.5% unemployment rate. Of course, that doesn’t include people who have left the workforce — which in the City is probably 20-30%. Democratic policies have failed, and yet Republicans have done a lousy job of explaining why individual liberty, property rights, and limited government will make life better for residents in and around the City. The same holds for minorities who live in Bear, Middletown, Newark, Smyrna or wherever.
Republicans, if you want to win, articulating a positive, concrete vision as to why individual liberty, property rights, and limited government works for everyone is a primary requirement, not beating up on each other.